Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Drexel Dragons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drexel Dragons -6 (60-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckham Wyrick | 37 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| John Goldsberry | 35 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Hendley | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Carter | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mitch Laue | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Temi Soyebo | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Kuljanin | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dejan Grkovic | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Lay | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Fountain | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Drexel Dragons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sanchez | 42 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Mason | 40 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Chaz Crawford | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Frank Elegar | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Dominick Mejia | 31 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Randy Oveneke | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Randy Hampton | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Scott Rodgers | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Stevenson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter