Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -4 (57-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Azzarelli | 35 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Marques Alston | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Whitney Coleman | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Kenny | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| John Bunch | 23 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Mike Shipman | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Hallett | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alex Nunner | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brent Wilson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Nelson | 37 | 5-16 | 5-15 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| T. Carey | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Lenny Jefferson | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tristan Blackwood | 32 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Javier Mojica | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jason Hickenbottom | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jermaine Middleton | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Winters | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jemino Sobers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter