Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Centenary (LA) Ladies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Centenary (LA) Ladies -4 (63-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce Parran | 38 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Teran Lee | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kourtney Calvin | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Jones Jr | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Holston | 25 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Michael Henderson | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Cam-Ron Clay | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marin Mulic | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| QuoVadis Harper | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Richard Gallion | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Talley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Centenary (LA) Ladies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Watson | 36 | 12-22 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Burnette | 34 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Eric Holmes | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Alexander Starr | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Larry Logan | 27 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Bryan Baumann | 16 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Clarke Jackson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jason Underwood | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Martin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter