Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Kennesaw State Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kennesaw State Owls +6 (78-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Smith | 45 | 11-26 | 2-9 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Pigram | 41 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Brad Nuckles | 40 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Travis Strong | 37 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dillion Sneed | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Eryk Thomas | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Reed | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shaun Keaton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dante Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kennesaw State Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Morgan | 45 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Nelson | 45 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Brent Ragsdale | 44 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Golden Ingle | 42 | 9-19 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Ronell Wooten | 39 | 9-21 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Gaby Cruz | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kenan Knight | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Heramb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Israel Ingle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter