Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +6 (75-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby Karl | 36 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Eric Lane | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Kareem Lloyd | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Tiedeman | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tez Banks | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Seth Robinson | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bauscher | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Wilson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| McNeal Thompson | 12 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Cunningham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaycee Carroll | 32 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| David Pak | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. McGowen | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| N. Harris | 27 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Chaz Spicer | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Durrall Peterson | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Nick Hammer | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chris Session | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Holmes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Bendall | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter