Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Karl | 36 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| E. Lane | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Lloyd | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Banks | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Robinson | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Wilson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Thompson | 12 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pak | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Carroll | 32 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| N. Harris | 27 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| C. McGowen | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| C. Spicer | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Peterson | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| N. Hammer | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Session | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Holmes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Bendall | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter