Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Cleveland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland State Vikings +6 (59-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Goode | 42 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Torvoris Baker | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Zach Everingham | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ben Green | 29 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Shaw | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chuck Bailey | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Kelly | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Muhammad Abdur-Rahim | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Hayes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| David Dedvukaj | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Nathan Bullock | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Carlos English | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Tatham | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Raheem Moss | 30 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Frashon McGee | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Victor Morris | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Nwankwo | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Steve Gansey | 13 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Justin Henderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Renard Fields | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Murphy | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter