Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +5 (78-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Todd | 39 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Van Schaick | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| DeWitt Maxwell | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mamadou Diakhate | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Herbie Allen | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Michael Bell | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alvin Carter | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Han | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Geoff Middleton | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Danny Oglesby | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Miles | 37 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Stanley Hodge | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | - |
| J.R Duffey | 32 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Mathis | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Charron Fisher | 23 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Clif Brown | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Barry Durosier | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Greg Noel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter