Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -10 (51-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Jointer | 37 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Richard Law | 36 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Smith | 36 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Michael Phillips | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason McGriff | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bennett | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Chey Christie | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jeffrey Collins | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Cowherd | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Leandro Buboltz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trajinski Grigsby | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Mitchell | 40 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ed Turner | 37 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Ross Mouton | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Barksdale | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chris Cameron | 23 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Michael Southall | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J.T. Fields | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Adam James | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Pesoli | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Valentino Hart | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter