Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -1 (106-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Freeman | 36 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 21 | - |
| C. Woods | 32 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| A. Bausley | 31 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| L. Leath | 27 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| H. Hargrave | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Williams | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Lange | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Roberts | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Perry | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Z. Beekman | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Adams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gilzene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Henry | 39 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Schroeder | 35 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Winters | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| A. Millien | 26 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 25 | - |
| L. Kinghorn | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Abdul-Ahad | 24 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Baumgartner | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Stucki | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Stevens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter