Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -1 (106-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaShawn Freeman | 36 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Clark Woods | 32 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Alex Bausley | 31 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Loren Leath | 27 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Haron Hargrave | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Justin Williams | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Lange | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Davon Roberts | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Perry | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zane Beekman | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Randy Adams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Gilzene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Henry | 39 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Schroeder | 35 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kasey Winters | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| A. Millien | 26 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Akbar Abdul-Ahad | 24 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| L. Kinghorn | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Baumgartner | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Matt Stucki | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tony Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Stevens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter