Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Kansas City Roos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas City Roos -6 (62-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill | 39 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Cole | 37 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. King | 34 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Cameron | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Angelo Smith | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Burks | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Drew Conner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michal Vavrek | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maushae Byles | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Day | 40 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Dane Brumagin | 35 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dee Ayuba | 34 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Blake Crawford | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brent Stephens | 24 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kalu Guasco | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brian Gettinger | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Hartsock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Huppe | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Spears | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter