Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +4 (74-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wright | 35 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Rashad Jones-Jennings | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Elijah Muldrow | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Byron Ray | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Lekheythan Malone | 23 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Buddy Harding | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| De'Andre Eggins | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Nichols | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lorenzo Razz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Winchester | 34 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Elgrace Wilborn | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ty Rogers | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Boris Siakam | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Benson Callier | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike Walker | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Butch Jointer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Emerson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Orlando Mendez-Valdez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joemal Campbell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Maresca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter