Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -17 (66-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.