Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +11 (67-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Schlader | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Fernandez Lockett | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Drake Reed | 33 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Hampton | 30 | 1-15 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Derek Wright | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Landon Shipley | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Todd Babington | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Duncan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J.P. Felder | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Witherspoon | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Justin Orr | 27 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Trey Pearson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Darnell Hopkins | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Griffith | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Issian Redding | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Johnson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Holloway | 17 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Keith Jenifer | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Rob Kennedy | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marqise Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike McCoy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter