Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks -2 (63-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Cieplicki | 34 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Mike Trimboli | 33 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Martin Klimes | 32 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh Duell | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Schneider | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Chad Powlovich | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Timothy McCrory | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Holm | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Colin McIntosh | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Rob Sisca | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Shields | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Cook | 39 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Adeleke | 39 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Chris Cole | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Paris Carter | 27 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| David Ruffin | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Fabrice Tafo | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charles Ford | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Alex Zimnickas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Glowiak | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter