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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Missouri State Bears Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (9.9 off)

Actual: Missouri State Bears +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Plank 32 3-12 2-6 1-2 7 3 1 0 1 9 7 -
D. Ford 28 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 4 1 1 3 4 -
G. Dilligard 26 2-6 0-0 1-1 7 2 2 4 2 5 12 -
N. Onyeuku 24 3-9 0-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 7 0 -
M. Vandello 21 3-4 2-3 1-2 7 0 1 0 3 9 10 -
K. Ford 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Fortes 16 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 6 0 -
L. Dyer 14 1-7 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
B. Holtz 9 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
R. Carlwell 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 4 6 -
D. Odiakosa 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Kruse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Chaney 35 6-14 0-1 4-5 8 3 1 0 5 16 9 -
B. Ahearn 33 6-11 4-5 4-4 1 3 0 0 4 20 9 -
N. Bilyeu 25 4-6 1-1 3-4 7 4 4 1 1 12 21 -
D. Thompson 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Richards 21 1-3 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 1 2 4 5 -
K. Easley 18 1-3 0-0 3-4 7 1 2 0 3 5 9 -
S. Frazier 15 4-5 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
S. Laurie 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Lamberth 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Fuehrmeyer 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Rausch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter