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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 85.3% 14.7% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -16 (64-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler * 31 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 7 2 0 0 7 14 -
T. Dials * 26 5-7 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 13 11 -
J.J. Sullinger * 25 5-9 3-6 4-5 7 0 1 1 2 17 15 -
M. Sylvester * 19 5-7 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 10 7 -
R. Lewis 25 3-8 3-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 9 4 -
J. Foster 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 5 2 6 0 2 10 13 -
S. Mayes 19 3-9 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 7 -1 -
I. Harris 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Terwilliger 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
B. Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dillon * 33 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
S. Heber * 30 6-15 1-4 2-5 13 1 2 1 4 15 13 -
M. Green * 24 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 3 0 4 9 6 -
C. Lutz * 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
G. Ware * 16 1-4 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 0 1 2 -1 -
K. Spates 27 6-14 0-2 2-3 4 1 1 0 5 14 1 -
M. White 22 7-8 0-0 1-3 3 3 0 2 2 15 13 -
M. Carroll 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Hartley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Riddell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter