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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 81.6% 18.4% -
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% -
Margin 62.0% 38.0% -2.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% -
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -3 (52-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mathies 35 5-9 3-5 3-4 3 0 3 0 1 16 12 -
J. Dotzler 35 4-6 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 10 6 -
N. Porter 25 2-6 0-2 6-6 4 1 1 0 3 10 7 -
D. Watts 25 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Tolliver 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 4 6 -
J. Day 16 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
J. Motz 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
P. Hibma 11 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Bishop 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Gakou 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Nengsu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jacobson 40 3-11 2-6 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
G. Stout 37 3-8 1-2 2-3 7 2 0 1 2 9 9 -
B. McKowen 33 1-5 0-2 6-8 2 4 0 0 1 8 8 -
E. Crawford 26 1-6 0-4 4-4 4 1 2 0 4 6 3 -
E. Coleman 23 3-6 0-0 1-5 4 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
J. Little 19 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
T. Brown 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
J. Josten 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Santos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter