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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model New Hampshire Wildcats UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 โœ— (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Hampshire Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Janev 37 9-16 4-10 1-2 8 2 0 1 4 23 14 -
J. Caterina 37 4-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 8 10 -
K. Kleist 32 2-4 1-1 6-6 4 5 1 0 3 11 14 -
M. Christensen 31 5-7 3-3 4-5 5 3 0 1 2 17 17 -
T. Gibbs 25 1-4 1-1 4-4 4 3 0 0 0 7 10 -
C. Vetrano 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Karalis 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
B. Odom 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dinkins 36 6-14 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 12 0 -
J. Greene 32 4-8 4-7 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 13 11 -
B. Hodges 30 6-15 1-7 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 16 5 -
C. Pugh 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Housman 26 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
J. Zito 24 3-6 1-1 1-3 4 1 2 0 1 8 8 -
T. Young 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
U. Eshietedoho 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Seaborn 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter