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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Log Adjusted 23.8% 76.2% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Moore 36 5-7 3-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 13 12 -
T. Schnitker 30 2-8 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 5 -1 -
T. Wurtz 28 4-9 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 2 1 11 9 -
R. Trudeau 23 6-11 4-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 17 5 -
J. Tunnell 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
E. Booe 17 1-2 1-2 0-2 2 4 0 0 2 3 5 -
A. Arnold 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. Wise 14 3-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 2 -
D. Evans 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Yelovich 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks 32 4-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 10 10 -
A. Calvin 31 6-11 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 12 9 -
A. Stewart 30 5-8 0-0 4-6 3 7 2 0 2 14 16 -
N. Grant 22 5-7 1-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 12 9 -
J. Cox 20 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 8 6 -
B. Heemskerk 20 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
C. Bryant 14 4-7 4-7 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 12 4 -
L. Houston 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
N. Works 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 0 3 8 -
J. Baryenbruch 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Emmenecker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Tracy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter