Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Galloway | 39 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Thornton | 38 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| I. Swann | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Webb | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Rich | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Wilson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Romero | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Allen | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Mims | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| U. Echefu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Breeden | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary | 40 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 38 | 5-16 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| J. Cain | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Diane | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Joseph | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Soroye | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Bannister | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter