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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Vaden * 39 7-11 4-6 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 20 16 -
M. Strickland * 34 3-4 2-3 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 9 9 -
M. Killingsworth * 34 13-22 0-0 1-4 1 1 1 0 5 27 3 -
A.J. Ratliff * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
E. Calloway 34 2-6 0-3 4-4 2 5 2 0 1 8 10 -
R. Wilmont 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
B. Allen 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Kline 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Suhr 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ager * 35 9-13 4-7 6-6 3 4 0 0 2 28 20 -
S. Brown * 34 3-6 1-4 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 7 -
D. Neitzel * 32 2-7 0-4 1-1 0 7 1 1 2 5 5 -
P. Davis * 29 8-11 0-1 7-7 10 1 0 0 3 23 20 -
M. Gray * 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 8 9 -
M. Trannon 33 2-4 0-0 7-8 3 4 1 1 2 11 14 -
T. Walton 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
I. Ibok 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter