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2006-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 67.3% 32.7% -4.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -10 (76-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Braeuer 35 3-6 1-2 2-2 6 5 3 0 4 9 13 -
P.J. Couisnard 35 6-14 0-3 3-4 11 6 2 0 2 15 18 -
K. Bradley 28 6-9 3-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 19 14 -
P. Miller 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
K. Wilson 22 3-9 1-4 2-3 8 1 0 0 4 9 5 -
J. Young 21 3-4 2-2 4-5 6 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
S. Ogirri 17 2-2 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
R. Martin 15 1-3 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
W. Preadom 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bennett 37 7-16 1-4 2-3 5 4 6 0 1 17 15 -
D. Ruffin 29 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 7 2 0 3 10 13 -
M. Sommerville 25 5-15 2-6 5-7 4 1 1 0 2 17 6 -
Z. Andrews 22 5-7 0-0 2-6 7 1 2 1 1 12 15 -
P. O'Bryant 22 4-12 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 1 0 9 6 -
L. Wright 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Adams 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Franklin 11 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
R. Brown 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
J.J. Tauai 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Crouch 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter