Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.6% | 96.4% | +18.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Slater | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Delk | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| W. Morgan | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Houston | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Delk | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Green | 38 | 6-18 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| L. Humphrey | 30 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Brewer | 28 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 10-13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| C. Richard | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Noah | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Horford | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Moss | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| W. Hodge | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Huertas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter