Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -5 (58-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Temple | 40 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 39 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | - |
| T. Thomas | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 29 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| G. Davis | 29 | 5-19 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Lazare | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Rolle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Voogd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 38 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Townes | 36 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Modica | 29 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 24 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Hill | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. McGowan | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Thomas | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| V. Hunter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter