Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash -28 (56-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thompson | 30 | 9-14 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| M. Kearse | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 29 | - |
| J. Butler | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Butler | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Cook | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Sumner | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| S. Atupem | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Gaines | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Loughry | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Whitney | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Vann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Farha | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Surprenant | 32 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| J. Lawrence | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Benton | 27 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| M. Ford | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Profeta | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| W. Robinson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T.J. Lundy | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter