Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Terry * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Noel * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Sanders | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Dowdell * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| W. Witherspoon * | 37 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| A. Green * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Washington * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Gordon * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Sailes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Diakite | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Tucker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.D. Vassallo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter