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2006-01-09

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Porter 34 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 5 1 1 3 2 2 -
L. Cunningham 29 4-10 1-6 2-4 4 1 0 0 4 11 2 -
C. Soto 28 2-5 1-1 6-7 6 1 1 1 3 11 12 -
D. Misko 27 3-6 0-0 3-4 9 0 3 1 0 9 16 -
D. Bates 27 5-16 0-4 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 12 0 -
H. Power 25 1-6 0-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 6 4 -4 -
R. Cobbs 15 2-3 0-0 1-3 6 1 4 0 0 5 13 -
K. Schille 10 0-0 0-0 6-6 2 1 0 0 3 6 6 -
J. Knox 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Efevberha 31 5-18 1-6 5-6 5 1 2 1 1 16 6 -
T. Shewmake 28 4-7 0-1 0-0 10 2 1 4 2 8 16 -
J. Heard 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 4 5 -
A. Washington 22 4-7 0-1 4-6 7 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
R. Haynes 20 5-8 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 12 7 -
B. Altheimer 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 4 1 0 0 6 7 -
C. Chitwood 16 5-12 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 12 4 -
J. Hill 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 0 6 -
A. Powers 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
R. Locke 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Smith 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Everage 1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter