Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Brucculeri * | 37 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| V. Oliver * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| P. Rasmussen * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 28 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Carter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Boone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Laudermill * | 30 | 11-13 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| T. Williams | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. McGee | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P. Johnson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Harvey | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Farley | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Huffman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Current | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter