Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: American University Eagles -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Flato | 32 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Hughes | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Martin | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Kaplan | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Holmes | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Holmes | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Pinick | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Morin | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| C. Andrews | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kyle | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Abromaitis | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ingram | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Eitutavicius | 30 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 4 | - |
| J. Nichols | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. Mercer | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Lekavicius | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Billbe | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Harris | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Carr | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Lay | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter