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2006-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 61.1% 38.9% -
Margin 63.6% 36.4% -3.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 75.0% 25.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% -
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -9 (47-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wilson 34 2-4 2-3 5-6 4 2 0 2 0 11 15 -
S. Ogirri 32 2-9 2-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 8 0 -
P. Miller 29 5-12 0-0 2-2 4 1 3 0 3 12 5 -
M. Braeuer 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 4 2 -
P.J. Couisnard 23 3-7 1-2 0-0 8 1 4 0 3 7 10 -
K. Bradley 20 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Young 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 3 4 -
R. Martin 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 4 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ford 38 7-12 2-6 0-2 7 0 4 0 6 16 9 -
G. Dilligard 32 6-9 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 4 2 14 11 -
N. Onyeuku 29 2-4 2-3 1-2 3 3 1 1 1 7 10 -
N. Plank 26 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 0 -6 -
K. Ford 22 2-3 0-1 0-2 1 2 1 0 6 4 -1 -
M. Vandello 17 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
R. Carlwell 16 0-2 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
B. Holtz 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
L. Dyer 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
R. Fortes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter