Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.