Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stewart | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Brooks | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Cox | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Calvin | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| N. Grant | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Bryant | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Works | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Houston | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Tracy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mathies | 35 | 11-17 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 21 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 33 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Tolliver | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| N. Porter | 28 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Watts | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Motz | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P. Hibma | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Bishop | 11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Day | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter