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2006-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 80.0% 20.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sommerville 35 4-16 3-7 0-1 9 0 0 0 4 11 0 -
T. Bennett 29 4-12 1-2 2-4 2 0 1 0 4 11 -2 -
D. Ruffin 26 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 0 3 -
P. O'Bryant 23 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 4 3 5 11 -
L. Wright 21 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
J. Crouch 18 2-6 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Z. Andrews 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 6 7 -
W. Franklin 14 1-3 1-2 2-4 1 3 1 0 1 5 6 -
D. Adams 13 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
R. Brown 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Young 35 8-17 3-7 11-11 7 2 3 0 2 30 23 -
J. Tatum 32 1-10 0-5 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 4 -4 -
B. Mullins 29 0-1 0-0 5-8 2 3 4 0 3 5 10 -
R. Falker 27 4-9 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 5 4 9 14 -
J. Foster 25 1-5 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 0 1 7 11 -
W. Clemmons 23 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
M. Shaw 18 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
T. Boyle 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter