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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.8% 20.2% - โœ“
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 37 3-8 2-4 8-8 3 1 0 0 0 16 12 -
A. Morrison * 33 9-19 1-4 6-6 6 1 0 1 0 25 14 -
J.P. Batista * 26 3-8 0-0 6-6 7 1 0 1 3 12 10 -
S. Mallon * 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 2 5 1 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Pendergraft 22 1-1 0-0 4-4 8 1 1 0 1 6 14 -
J. Pargo 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Knight 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Gurganious 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
M. Diallo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Winston * 37 5-11 1-5 0-2 7 4 2 0 3 11 10 -
T. Golden * 32 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
D. Kickert * 31 5-11 2-5 6-6 6 0 1 1 2 18 13 -
B. Collins * 21 2-10 0-2 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 5 -2 -
R. Rhalimi * 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
I. O'Leary 28 2-11 1-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
D. Simpson 20 3-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
B. Sholberg 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 6 7 -
E. Bond 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter