Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Jeter | 37 | 9-20 | 3-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 14 | - |
| D. Wilson | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Cooper | 27 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| B. Sullivan | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Field | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Jones | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Carter | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Averette | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Tiefenthaler | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Watson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McTear | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Niesen | 39 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 13-14 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| B. Angley | 37 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| M. Henke | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Rohe | 29 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Bryant | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| C. Johnson | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| O. Mbanugo | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Kaempf | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter