Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dean * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | - |
| T. Laudermill * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 20 | - |
| C. Millard * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Williams | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. McGee | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Farley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| P. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Harvey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McGrath * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| G. McDermott * | 38 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Curry * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Hanke * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Burch * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| W. Efejuku | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| H. Hill | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Kale | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter