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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 84.2% 15.8% -
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +49.8 (57.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wiggins Jr. 34 6-11 0-0 6-10 7 1 2 0 3 18 14 -
A. Surratt 28 4-7 1-4 4-5 4 3 1 0 2 13 12 -
J. Gumbs 27 4-7 1-1 4-5 7 1 0 1 3 13 12 -
D. Ingerson 26 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
D. Cavic 26 2-5 1-4 4-4 6 0 1 1 4 9 8 -
N. Pierce 18 5-9 0-0 3-5 5 1 0 1 0 13 11 -
J. Byrd 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
V. Polakovic 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
D. Shiller 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gerrity 40 8-20 1-4 2-5 1 1 5 0 3 19 3 -
T. Forehan-Kelly 35 1-6 1-3 4-4 6 7 1 0 1 7 14 -
D. Grubb 28 4-7 1-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 9 9 -
C. Griffin 27 2-7 1-5 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
W. Galick 24 2-6 0-1 7-8 5 0 0 0 4 11 6 -
J. Henry 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
C. Roush 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
R. Hicks 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
T. Pranciliauskas 6 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
K. Costain 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter