Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +15 (63-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 39 | 2-13 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| R. McBride * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| B. Randle * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| W. Carter | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Arnold | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Frazier | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horner * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Thomas | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Freeman | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| C. Reed | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Gorney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wieck | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter