Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +34 (79-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.