Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 39 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 38 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| R. Williams | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Spain | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Sharper | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Hudson | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Abukar | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. McGrath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Camara | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 40 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| A. Hood | 40 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 40 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 39 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Anderson | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Frye | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Holum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter