Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 36 | 8-20 | 1-7 | 7-11 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| S. Hill | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Modica | 32 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Townes | 18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McGowan | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rhodes | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Delk | 31 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Gordon | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Slater | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| W. Morgan | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Delk | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Houston | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Boler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter