Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Schnitker | 37 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| G. Moore | 36 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Wise | 27 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Evans | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Booe | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Arnold | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 38 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 36 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Webster | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 8-13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Ely | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Strickland | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Blakey | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Phifer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Stalbergs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Petty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Booker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter