Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -25 (58-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Barrow | 38 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Daniels | 37 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| B. McThay | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Goodwin | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| T. Fairley | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Grant | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Whittle | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Chappell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Beard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Burroughs | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Dotson | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Cook | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Rockett | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Rogers | 12 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Bush | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Moseley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter