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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Hamilton * 35 5-13 1-5 2-2 1 4 4 0 3 13 6 -
C. Hammonds * 33 6-12 1-4 1-1 4 2 2 0 1 14 9 -
A. Akingbala * 31 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 2 2 7 8 -
S. Perry * 25 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
S. Robinson * 24 3-9 1-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 7 1 -
K.C. Rivers 23 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Powell 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 -
S. Allen 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
T. Mathis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Joseph * 39 6-10 3-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 2 19 10 -
J.R. Reynolds * 37 3-12 1-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 5 10 2 -
S. Singletary * 36 6-12 2-3 3-4 5 6 2 0 6 17 12 -
T. Soroye * 33 0-1 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 4 1 4 11 -
J. Cain * 33 4-9 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 0 1 12 11 -
L. Mikalauskas 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Diane 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
B. Campbell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter