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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +25 (89-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall * 31 3-10 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 -1 -
A. Osborn * 28 2-9 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 7 4 -
R. Roby * 28 3-13 3-8 5-8 4 2 2 0 4 14 5 -
J. Obazuaye * 18 1-5 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
C. Copeland * 16 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 6 -1 -
M. Freeman 27 8-14 0-3 4-5 8 1 2 1 1 20 17 -
D. Coleman 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
J. Ashby 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Williams 11 1-3 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
G. Eddy 5 0-1 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
M. King-Stockton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Arrington 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. McGee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Senger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Aldridge * 39 6-12 0-0 7-9 9 2 2 2 1 19 21 -
P.J. Tucker * 33 9-17 0-0 6-10 15 4 2 0 2 24 26 -
K. Paulino * 30 7-9 3-4 1-3 1 2 2 0 2 18 12 -
D. Gibson * 30 4-12 3-8 3-4 5 1 1 2 2 14 9 -
B. Buckman * 26 0-3 0-2 4-6 7 4 0 2 3 4 11 -
A.J. Abrams 25 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 8 11 -
C. Atchley 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J.D. Lewis 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Winder 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter