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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 18.7% 81.3% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Log Adjusted 5.6% 94.4% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +24 (74-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 40 4-9 3-6 1-1 1 3 2 0 2 12 7 -
R. LeMelle 33 4-9 2-6 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
F. Tolbert 30 4-9 1-3 3-4 9 4 0 1 4 12 13 -
D. Hayles 25 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
R. Barrett 25 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 7 3 -
K. Barber 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 0 1 -
J. Dollard 16 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
J. Cameron 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
E. Willis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Byars 33 3-7 2-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 10 7 -
S. Foster 31 7-11 6-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 20 13 -
D. Carroll 26 4-8 0-0 2-3 6 2 2 0 1 10 11 -
M. Moore 26 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
J. Terrell 24 6-11 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 0 13 11 -
T. Skuchas 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
D. Cage 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
A. Gordon 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
D. Nwankwo 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Metcalfe 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Hammond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter