Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Harrison | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Morris | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Morris | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Creason | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 12-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| A. Patterson | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Harris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| F. Robinson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Gilling | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 33 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| T. Danridge | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Kersten | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Prochaska | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Walters | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Collins | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Hart | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Box | 9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Faris | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Walter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Prentice | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter