Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Atsur * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Bennerman * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Simmons * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| A. Brackman | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| G. Grant | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. McCauley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 14-14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| R. Terry * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Sanders | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter