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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lang 29 1-8 1-4 3-4 1 6 3 1 2 6 7 -
M. Giovacchini 28 8-10 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 19 7 -
A. Barnett 26 5-7 3-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 13 12 -
L. Pattman 24 4-8 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 9 1 -
A. Powers 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 0 4 8 -
T. Hammick 21 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 3 1 3 4 3 -
P. Bode 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Mosley 12 0-6 0-5 2-2 0 2 0 1 3 2 -4 -
D. Biber 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Mathis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Ball 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Flynn 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. McMillan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Goffredo 35 11-17 7-12 4-4 2 1 2 0 1 33 20 -
M. Beal 32 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 4 1 1 5 2 4 -
M. Stehle 30 7-13 0-2 0-0 8 8 3 3 2 14 21 -
D. Housman 29 1-6 0-1 5-6 2 3 4 1 4 7 7 -
B. Cusworth 26 5-13 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 0 2 15 5 -
K. Yada 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Harris 11 1-4 0-0 3-7 0 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
Z. Martin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Darcy 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
B. Unger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lambert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Groszyk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Pusar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter